BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Alabama St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 30 Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength = 150.86
Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (3-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L 147.05 42 52 1A 123 (2-3) Alabama-Birmingham 0.31 -10.79 -10.31
2 09/06/2025 Away W * * 149.31 30 7 1B 109 (1-4) Southern U. 2.57 11.76 20.43
3 09/13/2025 Home W 130.29 37 9 2 157 (0-6) Miles -16.45 * 31.16 44.45
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 158.48 42 14 1B 94 (1-3) Florida A&M 11.73 13.46 16.27
5 10/04/2025 Home W * * 148.59 52 35 1B 91 (2-4) Bethune-Cookman 1.84 15.88 15.16
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1B 18 (4-1) Jackson St -6.56
7 10/25/2025 Neutral * * 1B 112 (3-3) Alabama A&M 26.34
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 100 (4-2) Prairie View A&M 17.53
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 1B 99 (2-3) Texas Southern 21.64
10 11/15/2025 Neutral * * 1B 116 (0-4) Mississippi Valley S 28.87
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1B 127 (2-3) Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.53
12 11/27/2025 Home 2 77 (2-4) Tuskegee 32.20
Averages 146.75 40.6 23.4
Best game: 158.48 = 28 point win over Florida A&M
Worst game: 130.29 = 28 point win over Miles
Team stdev: 10.23