BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 37 Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =  129.76
Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (8-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (8-1)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Away    L     130.53  42  52   1A 116 ( 4- 8) Alabama-Birmingham      2.47    -10.79  -12.47                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    W * * 123.33  30   7   1B 124 ( 2-10) Southern U.            -4.73     11.77   27.73                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W     110.67  37   9    2 139 ( 3- 8) Miles                 -17.39 *   31.84   45.39                      
 4 09/27/2025 Away    W * * 133.55  42  14   1B 116 ( 5- 7) Florida A&M             5.48     13.31   22.52                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 129.33  52  35   1B  97 ( 6- 6) Bethune-Cookman         1.27     14.99   15.73                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 121.55  34  38   1B  62 ( 9- 3) Jackson St             -6.51     -5.26    2.51                      
 7 10/25/2025 Neutral W * * 145.95  56  13   1B 120 ( 4- 8) Alabama A&M            17.89     20.66   25.11                      
 8 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 127.94  31  28   1B  55 (10- 4) Prairie View A&M       -0.13     17.30    3.13                      
 9 11/08/2025 Home    W * * 127.85  42  24   1B 103 ( 6- 5) Texas Southern         -0.21     22.54   18.21                      
10 11/15/2025 Neutral W * * 131.66  41   3   1B 129 ( 2-10) Mississippi Valley S    3.60 *   35.90   34.40                      
11 11/22/2025 Home    W * * 127.85  44  13   1B 125 ( 3- 8) Arkansas-Pine Bluff    -0.21     34.84   31.21                      
12 11/27/2025 Home    W     126.53  58  21    2 113 ( 4- 7) Tuskegee               -1.53 *   40.63   38.53                      
      Averages             128.06  42.4 21.4

Best game:  145.95 = 43 point win over Alabama A&M
Worst game: 110.67 = 28 point win over Miles
Team stdev:   8.20