BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 36 Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength =  130.17
Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (7-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (7-1)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Away    L     130.21  42  52   1A 125 ( 3- 7) Alabama-Birmingham      1.55    -10.79  -11.55                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    W * * 122.33  30   7   1B 125 ( 1-10) Southern U.            -6.33     11.77   29.33                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W     112.04  37   9    2 137 ( 3- 8) Miles                 -16.63 *   31.84   44.63                      
 4 09/27/2025 Away    W * * 134.65  42  14   1B 116 ( 5- 5) Florida A&M             5.99     13.31   22.01                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 130.10  52  35   1B  99 ( 5- 6) Bethune-Cookman         1.44     14.98   15.56                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 124.19  34  38   1B  49 ( 8- 2) Jackson St             -4.48     -5.26    0.48                      
 7 10/25/2025 Neutral W * * 147.15  56  13   1B 120 ( 4- 7) Alabama A&M            18.49     20.67   24.51                      
 8 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 125.62  31  28   1B  68 ( 8- 3) Prairie View A&M       -3.04     17.29    6.04                      
 9 11/08/2025 Home    W * * 127.08  42  24   1B 106 ( 5- 5) Texas Southern         -1.58     22.55   19.58                      
10 11/15/2025 Neutral W * * 133.26  41   3   1B 127 ( 1- 9) Mississippi Valley S    4.60 *   35.90   33.40                      
11 11/22/2025 Home      * *                  1B 124 ( 3- 7) Arkansas-Pine Bluff                      34.87            
12 11/27/2025 Home                            2 111 ( 4- 6) Tuskegee                                 40.15            
      Averages             128.66  40.7 22.3

Best game:  147.15 = 43 point win over Alabama A&M
Worst game: 112.04 = 28 point win over Miles
Team stdev:   9.14